Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.112165 0.119893 0.127943 0.136966 0.146813 0.157251 0.169172
2025-10-05 0.098530 0.110302 0.123307 0.138810 0.156877 0.177375 0.202543
2025-10-12 0.089077 0.103325 0.119803 0.140432 0.165793 0.196251 0.236054
2025-10-19 0.080994 0.096596 0.115305 0.139667 0.170963 0.210384 0.264731
2025-10-26 0.074891 0.091408 0.111823 0.139314 0.175997 0.224191 0.293911
2025-11-02 0.069429 0.086400 0.107920 0.137742 0.178869 0.234939 0.319639
2025-11-09 0.063926 0.080833 0.102732 0.133817 0.177900 0.239948 0.337292
2025-11-16 0.059702 0.076600 0.098916 0.131308 0.178459 0.246860 0.358147
2025-11-23 0.056113 0.072951 0.095583 0.129110 0.179111 0.253723 0.379388
2025-11-30 0.054040 0.071211 0.094715 0.130278 0.184679 0.268326 0.414552
2025-12-07 0.050711 0.067516 0.090840 0.126711 0.182674 0.270776 0.429420
2025-12-14 0.047228 0.063416 0.086145 0.121580 0.177789 0.268064 0.434812
2025-12-21 0.044592 0.060453 0.083014 0.118736 0.176486 0.271396 0.451981
2025-12-28 0.043612 0.059847 0.083325 0.121242 0.184061 0.290456 0.500998
2026-01-04 0.042482 0.058953 0.083139 0.122928 0.190390 0.307968 0.549651
2026-01-11 0.040883 0.057271 0.081648 0.122387 0.192838 0.318715 0.586239
2026-01-18 0.039472 0.055799 0.080390 0.122122 0.195705 0.330450 0.626586
2026-01-25 0.037922 0.054038 0.078582 0.120803 0.196553 0.338380 0.659788
2026-02-01 0.036037 0.051675 0.075702 0.117481 0.193488 0.338363 0.674982
2026-02-08 0.034532 0.049847 0.073592 0.115355 0.192460 0.342266 0.699863
2026-02-15 0.033180 0.048201 0.071700 0.113491 0.191767 0.346743 0.726763
2026-02-22 0.032493 0.047581 0.071446 0.114482 0.196573 0.363048 0.785659
2026-03-01 0.031056 0.045701 0.069025 0.111453 0.193312 0.361852 0.799283